It is now hoped that peak of the third Covid wave may have passed after Covid-19 coronavirus cases fell for a sixth day in a row, reports The Times this morning.
The newspaper reported there were 24,950 postive cases in the UK on Monday, a decrease of 15,000 from the same day last week and a fall from the 54,000 from July 17.
It said one model showed that the “R” number was below one, suggesting the pandemic was shrinking.
However, Prime Minister Boris Johnson and health officials are still urging caution as the recent lifting of the limit on social contact is yet to be reflected in the figures.
Dr Christopher Jewell, of Lancaster University, who sits on the Government’s Spi-M panel of advisers, said: “We will know more as the week unfolds.”
The epidemiologist said he thinks the fall in cases “had something to do with schools breaking up and contact patterns changing”.
However, he warned that fall could be explained by other factors – including people being “less inclined to get tested if they have summer holidays booked”.
Meanwhile, the University of Anglia’s Paul Hunter said that previous estimates the UK could see 100,000 infections a day during the summer were “substantial over-estimates”.
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